If establishment Republicans do indeed, after all, support an independent or (capitalist) Libertarian Party candidate, my expectation would be that the presumptive Democratic Party nominee, Hillary Clinton, will win. A smarter strategy, anathema to Washington, D.C., Republicans, would be to support Ted Cruz.
Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Times confounds the capitalist libertarians who have provided financing for the authoritarian populist “Tea Party” with authoritarian populism itself. Read the story and notice exactly who is upset by the prospect of Donald Trump winning the nomination—it isn’t the authoritarian populist “base,” but rather the capitalist libertarians who have sought to exploit the “Tea Party.”
Lisa Mascaro, “Donald Trump’s campaign might break apart the tea party,” Los Angeles Times, March 18, 2016, http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-trump-tea-party-divide-20160318-story.html
Alexander Burns and Jonathan Martin, “Republican Leaders Map a Strategy to Derail Donald Trump,” New York Times, March 19, 2016, http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/20/us/politics/donald-trump-republican-party.html
From what I can see, while many conservatives, especially authoritarian populists, expect that Hillary Clinton will be indicted for mishandling classified information, virtually no one else does. If the conservatives are right, this could come to a head in May.
Ben Kamisar, “The chaos scenario for Democrats,” Hill, March 19, 2016, http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/273626-the-chaos-scenario-for-democrats