Donald Trump wins, Day 2: Daily Bullshit, November 10, 2016

Horse race

There were further updates to yesterday’s post, even late last night. It may be worth taking another look if you haven’t already. There is another new blog post in reaction to the reaction to the election results. This supplements my earlier post written late Tuesday night.

In assessing my record on this election, I credited Valerie Sue, the professor in my first methods class, for my repeated warnings about the current, dismal state of polling that indeed got the outcome of this election wrong[1] but acknowledged that it remains to be seen whether my precise diagnosis is accurate. That pretty much turns out to be the state of things, but what she said back in 2003 still looks pretty right on.[2]

Lois Beckett et al., “The real ‘shy Trump’ vote – how 53% of white women pushed him to victory,” Guardian, November 10, 2016, https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/nov/10/white-women-donald-trump-victory

Juan Cole, “Why the White Working Class Rebelled: Neoliberalism Is Killing Them (Literally),” Truthdig, November 9, 2016, http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/why_the_white_working_class_rebelled_neoliberalism_is_killing_20161109

Steve Kolowich, “Academic Pollsters Didn’t See All Those Trump Voters Coming, Either. Why Not?” Chronicle of Higher Education, November 10, 2016, http://www.chronicle.com/article/Academic-Pollsters-Didn-t/238362

Bernie Sanders, “Sanders Statement on Trump,” November 9, 2016, http://www.commondreams.org/newswire/2016/11/09/sanders-statement-trump

Robert Scheer, “Revenge of the ‘Deplorables,’” Truthdig, November 9, 2016, http://www.truthdig.com/report/item/revenge_of_the_deplorables_20161109


  1. [1]Jonathan Easley, “Pollsters suffer huge embarrassment,” Hill, November 9, 2016, http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/305133-pollsters-suffer-huge-embarrassment; Kenneth P. Vogel and Alex Isenstadt, “How did everyone get it so wrong?” Politico, November 9, 2016, http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/how-did-everyone-get-2016-wrong-presidential-election-231036; Aaron Zitner, “Pollsters Whiffed on Voters’ Appetite for an Outsider,” Wall Street Journal, November 9, 2016, http://www.wsj.com/articles/pollsters-whiffed-on-voters-appetite-for-an-outsider-1478679202
  2. [2]Steve Kolowich, “Academic Pollsters Didn’t See All Those Trump Voters Coming, Either. Why Not?” Chronicle of Higher Education, November 10, 2016, http://www.chronicle.com/article/Academic-Pollsters-Didn-t/238362

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