Get ready for Donald Trump. By a landslide on the order of 1984.

Neoliberalism

Democratic (neoliberal) Party

Joe Biden


Fig. 1. Joe Biden and Pope Francis, unknown photographer, April 29, 2016, via Wikimedia Commons, public domain.

When I was a kid, it was pretty common to say, “Any boy can grow up to be president.” It was ridiculous then, as it is now. Money—and lots of it—is a prerequisite to any political campaign, then as now, because James Madison understood democracy as ‘mob rule,’ threatening to deprive the wealthy (often slaveholders) of their property.[1] But it’s clearly close enough to true that the warning, “be careful what you ask for,” comes to mind.

It’s really looking like the battle to persuade Joe Biden to step aside is lost.[2] So, get ready for Donald Trump. Trump will be elected in November—this is now beyond question—I think probably by a landslide on the order of 1984, when Ronald Reagan, running for re-election, blew out Walter Mondale, who won only his home state of Minnesota (by a mere few thousand votes) and the District of Columbia.[3]

Matthew Choi, “Democratic Congressman Lloyd Doggett calls on Biden to withdraw from presidential race,” Texas Tribune, July 2, 2024, https://www.texastribune.org/2024/07/02/lloyd-doggett-joe-biden-withdraw-election/

Liz Goodwin et al., “Manchin threatened to break with Biden before senior Democrats intervened,” Washington Post, July 2, 2024, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/02/joe-manchin-biden-debate-democrats-drop-out/

Peter Hamby, “Biden Plunges in Swing States in Leaked Post-Debate Poll,” Puck, July 2, 2024, https://puck.news/biden-plunges-in-swing-states-in-leaked-post-debate-poll/

Jared Mitovich, “Democrats begin attacking Biden’s performance and campaign,” Politico, July 2, 2024, https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/02/democrats-biden-debate-fallout-00166208

Eli Stokols et al., “‘We’ve all enabled the situation’: Dems turn on Biden’s inner sanctum post debate,” Politico, July 2, 2024, https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/02/biden-campaign-debate-inner-circle-00166160

Prem Thakker, “Every Democrat Other Than Joe Biden Is Unburdened by What Has Been,” Intercept, July 2, 2024, https://theintercept.com/2024/07/02/biden-polls-democrats-alternative-candidates/

M. J. Lee, “Biden has privately acknowledged next stretch of days are critical for whether he can save his reelection bid,” Cable News Network, July 3, 2024, https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/03/politics/joe-biden-2024-campaign-troubles

Ally Mutnick et al., “‘Everybody’s in panic mode’ as House Democrats scramble after debate,” Politico, July 3, 2024, https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/03/house-democrats-biden-debate-00166533

Michael Scherer, Tyler Pager, and Matt Viser, “Biden faces growing political crisis over response to debate performance,” Washington Post, July 3, 2024, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/03/biden-crisis-debate-democrats/

Stephen Collinson and Shelby Rose to Meanwhile in America list, “The dark cloud hanging over Biden’s Independence Day Party,” Cable News Network, July 4, 2024, https://edition.cnn.com/newsletters/meanwhile-in-america

Yasmeen Abutaleb et al., “Biden’s aging is seen as accelerating, lapses described as more common,” Washington Post, July 5, 2024, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/05/biden-aging-recent-months/

Leigh Ann Caldwell and Liz Goodwin, “Sen. Mark Warner works to gather Senate Democrats to ask Biden to exit race,” Washington Post, July 5, 2024, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/05/mark-warner-joe-biden-exit-race-democratic-senators/

Rebecca Falconer, “Biden says he’s ‘not going anywhere’ as calls for him to step aside grow,” Axios, July 5, 2024, https://www.axios.com/2024/07/05/biden-democratic-donors-finance-disney-heiress

David A. Graham, “What is the Biden campaign’s theory of victory now?” Atlantic, July 5, 2024, https://apple.news/AyCMikft8TDuFf_elUgfQSA

Eric Levitz, “In an ABC interview, Biden charts a course for Dems’ worst-case scenario,” Vox, July 5, 2024, https://www.vox.com/politics/359160/biden-abc-news-interview-drop-out

David Smith, “Biden says only ‘the Lord almighty’ could make him drop out in pivotal TV interview,” Guardian, July 5, 2024, https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/jul/05/biden-george-stephanopoulos-debate-interview

David Axelrod, “Biden’s defiant delusion,” Cable News Network, July 6, 2024, https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/06/opinions/biden-failed-to-quell-panic-abc-interview-axelrod/index.html

Lauren Koenig, Samantha Waldenberg, and Betsy Klein, “Radio host who interviewed Biden says aides provided questions in advance,” Cable News Network, July 6, 2024, https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/06/politics/biden-radio-interview-questions/index.html

Michael Scherer, Tyler Pager, and Josh Dawsey, “Biden thought he had it under control. Then it got worse,” Washington Post, July 6, 2024, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/06/biden-debate-white-house-campaign/

Matt Viser and Shane Harris, “As Biden digs in, another elected Democrat calls on him to exit race,” Washington Post, July 6, 2024, https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2024/07/06/biden-democrats-presidential-campaign/

Yasmeen Abutaleb, Tyler Pager, and Aaron Schaffer, “Debate brings scrutiny of whether aides shielded signs of Biden’s aging,” Washington Post, July 7, 2024, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/07/white-house-aides-biden-age/

A. J. McDougall, “Obama’s Go-To Guy in the White House Says There’s No Way Biden Wins,” Daily Beast, July 7, 2024, https://apple.news/AU8MNINntR1m20zzN4_lerw

Gillian McGoldrick, “Andrea Lawful-Sanders leaves WURD after White House provides questions for Joe Biden interview,” Philadelphia Inquirer, July 7, 2024, https://www.inquirer.com/politics/joe-biden-andrea-lawful-sanders-wurd-interview-20240707.html

Ashley Parker and Meryl Kornfield, “Watching Biden, many see the heartbreaking indignities of aging,” Washington Post, July 7, 2024, https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/2024/07/07/biden-aging-debate-performance/

Kavita Patel, “I’m a doctor. Biden’s debate performance led me to a very different takeaway,” MSNBC, July 7, 2024, https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/biden-debate-nominee-ageism-aging-rcna160319

Matt Viser, Marianna Sotomayor, and Maeve Reston, “Nine House Democrats call for Biden to step aside as he seeks to energize his campaign,” Washington Post, July 7, 2024, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/07/biden-campaign-trump/

John Heilemann, “Biden vs. The World,” Puck, July 8, 2024, https://puck.news/biden-vs-the-world/

Dick Nixon [Justin Sherin], “The Crisis,” July 8, 2024, https://www.patreon.com/posts/crisis-107757333

Osita Nwanevu, “Democrats don’t just need a new candidate. They need a reckoning,” Guardian, July 8, 2024, https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/jul/08/democrats-joe-biden-election

San Francisco Standard, “Joe vs. Sourdough: Which will last longer, the president or this loaf of Boudin bread?” July 8, 2024, https://sfstandard.com/2024/07/08/biden-versus-boudin/

Matt Viser, “Biden is seeing a different world than other Democrats,” Washington Post, July 8, 2024, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/08/biden-different-world-bubble/

Lauren Egan, Eli Stokols, and Ben Johansen, “‘Take a stand, or shut up,’” July 9, 2024, https://www.politico.com/newsletters/west-wing-playbook/2024/07/09/take-a-stand-or-shut-up-00167168


  1. [1]James Madison, “Federalist No. 10,” in The Federalist Papers, ed. Garry Wills (New York: Bantam, 2003), 50-58.
  2. [2]Lauren Egan, Eli Stokols, and Ben Johansen, “‘Take a stand, or shut up,’” July 9, 2024, https://www.politico.com/newsletters/west-wing-playbook/2024/07/09/take-a-stand-or-shut-up-00167168
  3. [3]270 To Win, “1984 Presidential Election,” n.d., https://www.270towin.com/1984_Election/76b4403a-b39f-41cd-a19b-8631ee91072b

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