I wouldn’t call Michael Moore an expert and the other expert, a professor whose model correctly forecast Trump’s victory, admits that this forecast is based more on a hunch.
MercoPress, “Trump’s presidency short lived? Two experts who anticipated his victory make the prediction,” November 18, 2016, http://en.mercopress.com/2016/11/18/trump-s-presidency-short-lived-two-experts-who-anticipated-his-victory-make-the-prediction
Armin Rosen, “While the World Is Distracted, the International Criminal Court Is Quietly Bleeding Members,” Tablet, November 17, 2016, http://www.tabletmag.com/scroll/218142/while-the-world-is-distracted-the-international-criminal-court-is-quietly-bleeding-members
Reid Wilson, “Dems hit new low in state legislatures,” Hill, November 18, 2016, http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/306736-dems-hit-new-low-in-state-legislatures