Illiberalism
Fig. 1. Photograph by Joachim F. Thurn, August 1991, Bundesarchiv, B 145 Bild-F089030-0003, via Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 3.0 DE.
“You do not have to have emergency powers or a military coup for democracy to wither,” Aziz Huq, a constitutional-law professor at the University of Chicago, told me [Andrew Marantz]. “Most recent cases of backsliding, Hungary being a classic example, have occurred through legal means.” [Viktor] Orbán runs for reëlection every four years. In theory, there is a chance that he could lose. In practice, he has so thoroughly rigged the system that his grip on power is virtually assured. The political-science term for this is “competitive authoritarianism.” Most scholarly books about democratic backsliding (“The New Despotism,” “Democracy Rules,” “How Democracies Die”) cite Hungary, along with Brazil and Turkey, as countries that were consolidated democracies, for a while, before they started turning back the clock.[1]
If you really want to capture your democracy, you always start with the most important guardrail, and this is judicial review. The ruling majority understood that if you have an independent court in place, the constitutional capture will never work because the constitutional court would always stand in the way.[2]
I intend the category of illiberalism to include movements and regimes that merely pretend to a system of elections and the rule of so-called “law.” In some cases, the movements have gained political power; in others, they threaten to. I mean to exclude fully authoritarian regimes such as China, North Korea, and Russia.
I am uncertain as to the status of countries like Cuba, Nicaragua, and Venezuela. The media coverage I see of these countries is so starkly one-sided, appearing to conform so completely with official U.S. policy, that I distrust it.
Seriously affected countries
- Argentina
- Austria
- Brazil
- France
- Germany
- Hungary
- India
- Israel
- Italy
- Netherlands
- Pakistan
- Philippines
- Poland
- Slovakia
- Spain
- Sweden
- Tunisia
- Türkiye
- United States (Gilead)
(list under continuous development)
See also:
- Ukraine’s Orange Revolution
- China passes national security law in turning point for Hong Kong
- Competitive authoritarian regime project
Roger Cohen, “Emmanuel Macron Defeats Marine Le Pen for Second Term as French President,” New York Times, April 24, 2022, https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/24/world/europe/french-election-results-macron-le-pen.html
Ishaan Tharoor, “Sweden’s election marks a new far-right surge in Europe,” Washington Post, September 16, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/16/sweden-election-far-right-democrats/
Ishaan Tharoor, “The mainstreaming of the West’s far right is complete,” Washington Post, September 27, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com//world/2022/09/27/mainstreaming-wests-far-right-is-complete/
Thomas B. Edsall, “Seven Years of Trump Has the Right Wing Taking the Long View,” New York Times, September 28, 2022, https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/28/opinion/trump-right-wing-america.html
Barbara Moens and Cornelius Hirsch, “How the far-right got out of the doghouse,” Politico, October 3, 2022, https://www.politico.eu/article/the-far-right-is-out-of-the-doghouse/
Marc Fisher, “Leaders of democracies increasingly echo Putin in authoritarian tilt,” Washington Post, October 16, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/10/16/authoritarian-world-leaders-putin/
Greg Sargent, “The hidden danger lurking behind Elon Musk’s Twitter takeover,” Washington Post, October 28, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/10/28/elon-musk-twitter-takeover-russia-ukraine-war-big-tech/
Kate Connolly and Philip Oltermann, “German police raids target group accused of far-right plot to overthrow state,” Guardian, December 7, 2022, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/dec/07/german-police-raids-target-far-right-reich-citizens-movement
Matthew Karnitschnig, “Germans on the verge of a nervous breakdown,” Politico, December 8, 2022, https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-republic-monarchy-rechsburger-michael-gotschenberg-on-the-verge-of-a-nervous-breakdow/
Karin Fischer, “The power and vulnerability of colleges amid rising authoritarianism,” Chronicle of Higher Education, February 8, 2023, https://www.chronicle.com/newsletter/latitudes/2023-02-08
Ishaan Tharoor, “The West shrugs as a democracy dies,” Washington Post, March 1, 2023, https://www.washingtonpost.com//world/2023/03/01/tunisia-saied-democracy-crackdown/
Ishaan Tharoor, “Biden’s Summit for Democracy is a tough hill to climb,” Washington Post, March 29, 2023, https://www.washingtonpost.com//world/2023/03/29/summit-for-democracy-biden-critics/
Ishaan Tharoor, “A far-right European Union could be around the corner,” Washington Post, July 21, 2023, https://www.washingtonpost.com//world/2023/07/21/spain-election-vox-far-right-european-union/
Barney Jopson, “Spain faces uncertain political future after election deadlock,” Financial Times, July 24, 2023, https://www.ft.com/content/4ed90f29-5191-4197-a39b-13982eec86c9
Martin Wolf, “Modi’s India is moving in an illiberal direction,” Financial Times, July 25, 2023, https://www.ft.com/content/bf591089-6e9d-4cf9-ac80-8c63e3b12f42
Ishaan Tharoor, “In Argentina, a new Trump rises,” Washington Post, August 16, 2023, https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/08/16/javier-milei-donald-trump-argentina/
Matthew Karnitschnig, “Springtime for Europe’s fascists,” Politico, August 20, 2023, https://www.politico.eu/article/germany-fascism-populism-europe-bjorn-hocke-immigration-elections-eu/
Gerry Shih, “Inside the vast digital campaign by Hindu nationalists to inflame India,” Washington Post, September 26, 2023, https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/09/26/hindu-nationalist-social-media-hate-campaign/
Jan Cienski, “Opposition wins Polish election, according to exit poll,” Politico, October 15, 2023, https://www.politico.eu/article/opposition-wins-polish-election-according-to-exit-poll-poland-kaczynski-duda-tusk-election-rule-of-law/
Ishaan Tharoor, “After election, Poland may turn the illiberal tide,” Washington Post, October 17, 2023, https://www.washingtonpost.com//world/2023/10/17/poland-illiberal-election-opposition-democracy/
Samantha Schmidt and David Feliba, “Trump-like libertarian Javier Milei wins Argentina’s presidency,” Washington Post, November 19, 2023, https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/11/19/argentina-presidential-election-results-javier-milei/
Elaine Schaart, Peter Haeck, and Jakob Hanke Vela, “Far-right leader Geert Wilders wins Dutch election: Exit poll,” Politico, November 22, 2023, https://www.politico.eu/article/far-right-leader-geert-wilders-wins-dutch-election-exit-poll/
Ishaan Tharoor, “Europe’s far right goes mainstream,” Washington Post, November 27, 2023, https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/11/27/europe-far-right-geert-wilders-dutch-election-mainstream/
Adam Taylor, “Javier Milei’s study of Judaism sets him apart from far-right leaders,” Washington Post, December 14, 2023, https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/12/14/milei-judaism-torah-religion-argentina-israel-jewish/
Sarah Riccardi-Swartz, “As Russia ramps up ‘traditional values’ rhetoric − especially against LGBTQ+ groups − it’s won Putin far-right fans abroad,” Conversation, December 15, 2023, https://theconversation.com/as-russia-ramps-up-traditional-values-rhetoric-especially-against-lgbtq-groups-its-won-putin-far-right-fans-abroad-219102
Tim Gosling, “Is Slovakia on a fast track to illiberalism?” Deutschewelle, January 15, 2024, https://www.dw.com/en/worries-for-rule-of-law-in-slovakia-as-fico-targets-courts/a-67985576
Nicolas Camut, “Geert Wilders left stranded as Dutch coalition talks collapse,” Politico, February 6, 2024, https://www.politico.eu/article/geert-wilders-stranded-dutch-government-coalition-talk-collapse-netherlands/
Ishaan Tharoor, “The powerful lesson behind Pakistan’s stunning election result,” Washington Post, February 11, 2024, https://www.washingtonpost.com//world/2024/02/11/pakistan-election-results-khan-lessons/
Ishaan Tharoor, “The world’s third-biggest democracy could be sliding backward,” Washington Post, February 14, 2024, https://www.washingtonpost.com//world/2024/02/14/indonesia-elections-democracy-backsliding-prabowo-widodo/
Barney Jolson and Sérgio Aníbal, “Portugal’s centre-right wins tight election as far-right surges,” Financial Times, March 11, 2024, https://www.ft.com/content/5ebcc75d-e5ba-4f78-9729-881b9b8bfd0d
Eva Hartog, “Putin may be the biggest dupe of his fake election landslide,” Politico, March 17, 2024, https://www.politico.eu/article/russian-election-vladimir-putin-fake-legitimacy-moscow-ukraine/
Ishaan Tharoor, “Russia’s farce election sums up a grim moment in global democracy,” Washington Post, March 18, 2024, https://www.washingtonpost.com//world/2024/03/18/global-democracy-russia-election-backslide-autocracy/
- [1]Andrew Marantz, “Does Hungary Offer a Glimpse of Our Authoritarian Future?” New Yorker, June 27, 2022, https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2022/07/04/does-hungary-offer-a-glimpse-of-our-authoritarian-future↩
- [2]Tomasz Tadeusz Koncewicz, quoted in Ishaan Tharoor, “Netanyahu’s Israel finds kindred spirits in Hungary and Poland,” Washington Post, March 28, 2023, https://www.washingtonpost.com//world/2023/03/28/netanyahu-israel-hungary-poland-orban-illiberal-nationalist/↩
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