If you can get a residence visa in another country, you should take it

Clairton

This is one I got wrong.

Downtown Clairton is pretty much a ghost town. The storefronts are mostly boarded up. There aren’t a lot of people.

It’s uphill from the U.S. Steel Clairton Works, which pollutes the air and is the object of considerable controversy as residents suffer the effects in what looks for all the world like a classic case of environmental injustice. It’s in what locals call “Mon Valley,” the Monongahela River Valley, which is not, in this stretch, no way, no how, a tourist attraction. The communities here are working class at best.

We’re looking at a lot of poverty and a lot of problems associated with poverty.

In the middle of this, all of a sudden there is suddenly a project to restore an old hotel. The sign calls it a multimillion dollar undertaking. I’m interpreting all this as a tourist hotel restoration and thinking it doesn’t make any sense at all.

You can imagine the dark theories rolling around my head. Who sinks this kind of money into a place like this? And why?

Frankly, I was thinking of a restaurant in the South Bay (San Francisco Bay) which, I was told, never seemed to have any customers but where the food and service were great. I don’t know if it’s still there, but apparently it had been there for some time. My sources suspected it was actually a money laundering operation.

As I said, I got it wrong. It turns out this is mostly affordable housing. People should be moving in in late August. I’m not quite clear on the financing, but it appears tax incentives were involved.[1]

They’re hoping this development will be the beginning of a revitalization for downtown Clairton.[2] It’s obviously a leap of faith but we can certainly hope they’re right.

Linda Wilson Fuoco, “Clairton Inn Apartments created from old hotel,” PIttsburgh Post-Gazette, July 29, 2022, https://www.post-gazette.com/life/homes/2022/07/29/clairton-inn-apartments-hotel-mon-valley-initiative/stories/202207290054


COVID-19 Pandemic

I’m late finding this article but it appears that the dominant theory of the origins of COVID-19 as being in a Wuhan live animal market is now on more solid ground. Even some erstwhile proponents of the ‘lab leak’ theory are now saying they now think the pandemic began with two separate nonhuman-to-human animal transmissions in that market.[3] This much more directly implicates our relationship with nonhuman animals.

Corinne Purtill, “New studies say Wuhan market is the only ‘plausible’ source of COVID-19 pandemic,&Rdquo; Los Angeles Times, July 26, 2022, https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2022-07-26/new-studies-say-wuhan-market-was-the-only-plausible-source-of-covid-19-pandemic


Gilead

Gilead competitive authoritarian regime project

If you can get out of the country, it would be a good idea.

Brynn Tannehill, “It’s Going to Take Several Miracles to Stop the Republican Party From Turning America Into Hungary,” New Republic, July 26, 2022, https://newrepublic.com/article/167100/republican-party-turning-america-into-hungary

Mark Scolforo, “Gov. Wolf sues to stop GOP-backed amendments on abortion, voting,” Philadelphia Inquirer, July 28, 2022, https://www.inquirer.com/politics/pennsylvania/governor-wolf-sues-amendments-abortion-voting-20220728.html


  1. [1]Linda Wilson Fuoco, “Clairton Inn Apartments created from old hotel,” PIttsburgh Post-Gazette, July 29, 2022, https://www.post-gazette.com/life/homes/2022/07/29/clairton-inn-apartments-hotel-mon-valley-initiative/stories/202207290054
  2. [2]Linda Wilson Fuoco, “Clairton Inn Apartments created from old hotel,” PIttsburgh Post-Gazette, July 29, 2022, https://www.post-gazette.com/life/homes/2022/07/29/clairton-inn-apartments-hotel-mon-valley-initiative/stories/202207290054
  3. [3]Corinne Purtill, “New studies say Wuhan market is the only ‘plausible’ source of COVID-19 pandemic,&Rdquo; Los Angeles Times, July 30, 2022, https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2022-07-26/new-studies-say-wuhan-market-was-the-only-plausible-source-of-covid-19-pandemic

Place your bets: How long until Doug Mastriano re-opens his Gab account?

John Fetterman

Good Morning, Boys and Girls! Can you say “false equivalence?”

Doug Mastriano, on closing his Gab account, points to anti-Semites on Twitter.[1]

Jonathan Tamari, “Trump’s ‘Stop the Steal’ allies are back on the ballot in Pa., and could win more power over the next election,” Philadelphia Inquirer, July 28, 2022, https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/pa-jan-6-2022-elections-mastriano-shapiro-20220728.html

Julian Routh, “Doug Mastriano responds to criticisms over Gab account, removes profile from site,” Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, July 29, 2022, https://www.post-gazette.com/news/politics-state/2022/07/29/doug-mastriano-gab-pennsylvania-governor-josh-shapiro-account-race-election/stories/202207290073

Jonathan Tamari, “Fetterman and Shapiro lead Oz and Mastriano in key Pa. races, despite headwinds against Democrats, poll finds,” Philadelphia Inquirer, July 29, 2022, https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/pa-2022-poll-fetterman-oz-shapiro-mastriano-senate-gov-20220729.html


  1. [1]Julian Routh, “Doug Mastriano responds to criticisms over Gab account, removes profile from site,” Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, July 29, 2022, https://www.post-gazette.com/news/politics-state/2022/07/29/doug-mastriano-gab-pennsylvania-governor-josh-shapiro-account-race-election/stories/202207290073

Excuses on abortion rights might not be cutting it with voters

Gilead

Abortion

I need to repeat here what I said late last night (Pacific Time) or early this morning (Eastern Time):

Y’all know I don’t trust surveys when response rates are in the single digits[1] (for the methodology to be valid, the response rate should be at least ninety percent and with the response rates pollsters are actually seeing, there is absolutely no validity whatsoever in extrapolating from respondents to non-respondents).[2]

That said, the Washington Post story is consistent with what I’ve been hearing: While some hope that the Supreme Court ruling overturning Roe v. Wade leads to a backlash supporting the Democratic Party in what otherwise looks very much to be a catastrophic (depending on your perspective) result this November, a lot of folks think that just isn’t gonna happen. The latter group can claim, if you accept it, survey evidence in support.[3]:

“Is the discontent with Democratic Party leadership and policies generally so deep that those most affected by the court decision … still plan to sit out this election?” said Mark Rozell, dean of the Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University, who worked on the poll. “I struggle to wrap my head around this disconnect.”[4]

I can’t speak for others here. But there is some evidence that the answer is, indeed, yes.[5] Because, in essence, I think, if you want excuses, the Democrats are your party. If you want substantive action, they just aren’t. That the Democrats won’t even pass voting rights reform that would keep them in the game simply blows it all away for me: “the Democrats really feel much more comfortable in opposition, where they can complain about the Republicans, than in power; when in power, they’re supposed to accomplish things and they fail at this miserably.”[6] I’m just not even seeing the beginning of a refutation here.

Mark Scolforo, “Gov. Wolf sues to stop GOP-backed amendments on abortion, voting,” Philadelphia Inquirer, July 28, 2022, https://www.inquirer.com/politics/pennsylvania/governor-wolf-sues-amendments-abortion-voting-20220728.html

Hannah Knowles, Emily Guskin, and Scott Clement, “Americans dismayed at end of Roe are less certain they will vote, poll finds,” Washington Post, July 29, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/07/29/abortion-roe-midterms-poll/


  1. [1]Dan Balz, “2020 presidential polls suffered worst performance in decades, report says,” Washington Post, July 18, 2021, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020-poll-errors/2021/07/18/8d6a9838-e7df-11eb-ba5d-55d3b5ffcaf1_story.html; David Byler, “Polling is broken. No one knows how to fix it,” Washington Post, July 22, 2021, https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/07/22/polling-is-broken-no-one-knows-how-fix-it/; Mona Chalabi, “The pollsters were wrong – again. Here’s what we know so far,” Guardian, November 4, 2020, https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/commentisfree/2020/nov/04/the-pollsters-were-wrong-again-heres-what-we-know-so-far; David A. Graham, “The Polling Crisis Is a Catastrophe for American Democracy,” Atlantic, November 4, 2020, https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/11/polling-catastrophe/616986/; Courtney Kennedy and Hannah Hartig, “Response rates in telephone surveys have resumed their decline,” Pew Research Center, February 27, 2019, https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/02/27/response-rates-in-telephone-surveys-have-resumed-their-decline/; Steven Shepard, “Report: Phone polls aren’t dead yet,” Politico, May 15, 2017, https://www.politico.com/story/2017/05/15/pollsters-phone-polls-238409; Steven Shepard, “Dem pollsters acknowledge ‘major errors’ in 2020 polling,” Politico, April 13, 2021, https://www.politico.com/news/2021/04/13/dems-polling-failure-481044
  2. [2]David Benfell, “If you have to ask whether there will be consequences for Republicans, you don’t want to know the answer,” Irregular Bullshit, July 29, 2022, https://disunitedstates.com/2022/07/29/if-you-have-to-ask-whether-there-will-be-consequences-for-republicans-you-dont-want-to-know-the-answer/
  3. [3]Hannah Knowles, Emily Guskin, and Scott Clement, “Americans dismayed at end of Roe are less certain they will vote, poll finds,” Washington Post, July 29, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/07/29/abortion-roe-midterms-poll/
  4. [4]Hannah Knowles, Emily Guskin, and Scott Clement, “Americans dismayed at end of Roe are less certain they will vote, poll finds,” Washington Post, July 29, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/07/29/abortion-roe-midterms-poll/
  5. [5]Benjamin Hart, “The Democratic Party Is Extremely Unpopular Right Now,” New York, May 16, 2022, https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2022/05/the-democratic-party-is-extremely-unpopular-right-now.html
  6. [6]David Benfell, “Democrats and contradiction,” Not Housebroken, July 2, 2022, https://disunitedstates.org/2021/11/18/democrats-and-contradiction/

If you have to ask whether there will be consequences for Republicans, you don’t want to know the answer

As I write this, I’m seated in the Veggie Grill in Corte Madera Town Center, looking between some blinds at Mount Tamalpais.

When I last left the story, I had driven to Salt Lake City, where I subsequently ate at Vertical Diner, a vegan restaurant that almost makes a move to Salt Lake City tempting. My observation of Salt Lake City from a few years ago, when I attended a Human Science Institute conference there was that it was a surprisingly progressive island in a ruby red state. If Pennsylvania’s state politics drive me nuts, I hate to think what Utah’s would do.

From there, it was Reno, where I was curious about the impact of money I’d heard had come to town. Among those over fifty years I count as having lived in California, were actually a couple in Reno, at the time and perhaps still a colony of Northern California. At that time, roughly 1979 to 1981, there were some casinos downtown that seemed barely to be hanging on and a commercial area now called “midtown” wasn’t exactly prosperous, but it was also certainly a long ways from what, say, downtown McKeesport has become. Businesses along South Virginia Street were mostly open and didn’t seem to be hurting too badly.

When I returned for a visit, probably about a decade ago, Reno had clearly fallen on hard times. Those marginal casinos had closed. The businesses in midtown seemed to be struggling.and around that time, I saw an article describing the area as suffering from an epidemic of methamphetamine addiction.

On this, much too quick, visit, conditions in midtown had improved noticeably. Some of it mostly looked like a fresh paint job, some of it otherwise seemed superficial. But there were newish businesses and some new businesses. Downtown, however, something has happened that I never would have imagined happening: Harrah’s has closed. As I drove down the street, I had to look again, and then a third time. But there could be no mistake. Harrah’s had closed.

So I guess my assessment is that the casino business, which has been struggling for decades, continues to struggle. As for social inequality, I noticed a homeless encampment along Interstate 80 as I entered Sparks, the town immediately adjoining Reno to the east, from the east. Even some of those who are housed are inadequately so. But Reno, on the whole, looks better, certainly better than about a decade ago, even if some of the improvement seems less than substantive. I am also left wondering about gentrification.

I’m still catching up on news here, but publishing this for now.


John Fetterman

This fall’s election will test whether there are political consequences for the Pennsylvania Republicans who played significant roles on Jan. 6 — or if they’ll grow more empowered ahead of the next presidential race, when Donald Trump could again be on the ballot and Pennsylvania will again be a pivotal battleground in deciding who wins the presidency.[1]

I can’t tell you how much I hope I’m wrong about this. But there’s a reason these white Christian natioaalists are so bold and that is simply that they enjoy broad and enthusiastic support across Pennsylvania. I can’t tell you how many Confederate flags I saw prior to the January 6 coup attempt and I can’t tell you how many Donald Trump campaign flags, both still up from the 2020 election and and anticipating his 2024, I’ve seen, especially in southwestern Pennsylvania.

There might be moderate Republicans in Pennsylvania[2] but they most certainly did not prevail in the primary;[3] Josh Shapiro will need their votes when “[p]olls suggest the election will mainly be a referendum on a deeply unpopular [Joe] Biden, his Democratic allies, and the state of the U.S. economy.”[4]

Y’all know I don’t trust surveys when response rates are in the single digits[5] (for the methodology to be valid, the response rate should be at least ninety percent and with the response rates pollsters are actually seeing, there is absolutely no validity whatsoever in extrapolating from respondents to non-respondents). In this case, however, I suspect the pollsters are right.

There is certainly revulsion at the events of January 6, 2021. But it is limited to people who care about politics and, frankly, around Pennsylvania, people would much rather talk about sports.

Republican control of the U.S. House, meanwhile, hinges on a handful of swing districts, including several in Pennsylvania. A GOP majority could make the 2024 election more vulnerable if there’s another push to subvert the will of the voters. Most of the chamber’s Republicans — including 8 of Pennsylvania’s 9 GOP House members — voted to throw out Pennsylvania’s 2020 results, but were overruled by the chamber’s Democratic majority. (Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, of Bucks County, was the lone Republican exception from Pennsylvania).[6]

This is how Gilead happens.[7]

Jonathan Tamari, “Trump’s ‘Stop the Steal’ allies are back on the ballot in Pa., and could win more power over the next election,” Philadelphia Inquirer, July 28, 2022, https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/pa-jan-6-2022-elections-mastriano-shapiro-20220728.html


Pittsburgh

Unauthorized violence

“Everyone has a gun,” said the Rev. Glenn Grayson, a longtime local pastor who presided over the funeral of the teenager [Maleek Baskins]. “It’s heart-wrenching. What these kids could have been. It hurts so much to bury so much potential.”[8]

These problems begin, however, long before these kids are shot:

“I cried to him many a-days, many a-nights,” she said of her son, who had slipped into a whirl of drugs and crime.[9]

It’s one thing to talk about a kid’s potential and, indeed, to cry when he is dead. But to say that kid’s potential was lost when he was killed is another. We aren’t dealing effectively with the problems, the poverty, the blight, the hopelessness, the despair, that lead to this violence and this loss. Instead, we hear about proximate causes:

The reasons for the rise in shootings run the gamut, from the continued isolation of the pandemic and fights arising from social media, to the easy access of firearms on the streets, say experts and community leaders.[10]

The giveaway is in the very next sentence:

Most of those attacks [in the first half of 2022] took place in neighborhoods that have long been hit by violent crime.[11]

And we wonder why we can’t solve the problem.

Jon Moss, “Allegheny County homicides concentrated in small number of neighborhoods, report says,” Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, July 28, 2022, https://www.post-gazette.com/news/crime-courts/2022/07/28/allegheny-county-homicides-concentrated-small-number-neighborhoods-report-says-black-men-pittsburgh/stories/202207270111


Infrastructure

I can’t claim any more reason for skepticism than David Dayen. I really can’t.

For 364 days, [Joe] Manchin went back and forth on pretty much all of these [previously agreed] provisions, rejecting the bill outright, then crawling back to the table, going into bargaining with [Chuck] Schumer, leaving that bargaining, and coming back. And one year to the day later, we have a bill called the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, which includes everything in that previous paragraph and a lot more on energy and climate, plus the ACA insurance exchange subsidies and prescription drug price reforms we knew about. But overall, the bill spends $433 billion, a little over $1 trillion less than that original topline. Much of its revenue goes to deficit reduction.[12]

Perhaps it’s just that I don’t trust Joe Manchin one millimeter farther than I can throw him. I’ll believe this when Joe Biden is signing it.

It seems, however, that, at least for the moment, Chuck Schumner not only has a sign-off from Joe Manchin on barely recognizable social infrastructure bill but has manueuvered the CHIPS and Science Act, a bit of industrial policy favoring domestic production of integrated chips, past Mitch McConnell:

If you told me a cosmic ray hit Washington and flipped everyone’s brains, giving Schumer the Machiavellian cunning of a Republican and giving McConnell the guileless approach of a Democrat, that might be a more plausible explanation for this display than the truth. It’s a near-legendary turn of events that infuriated McConnell so much he took hostage a bill to give dying veterans exposed to toxic burn pits medical care, something Republicans passed overwhelmingly just a few weeks ago (it needed a technical fix). The combination of the revival of the Biden agenda and red-faced Republicans making terrible choices on highly popular legislation is one for the ages.[13]

Sorry, still not believing it.[14] When Biden signs it, I’ll believe it. And, really, Dayen doesn’t all that much disagree, admitting that there are still opportunities for failure.[15] I just might be more cynical.

David Dayen, “Joe Manchin and Chuck Schumer Have a Surprise for You,” American Prospect, July 28, 2022, https://prospect.org/politics/joe-manchin-and-chuck-schumer-have-a-surprise-for-you/

Elaine Godfrey, “Democrats in … Array?” Atlantic, July 28, 2022, https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2022/07/democrats-in-array/670990/

Tara Palmeri, “Joe Manchin’s Small Washington Dreams,” Puck News, July 28, 2022, https://puck.news/joe-manchins-small-washington-dreams/


  1. [1]Jonathan Tamari, “Trump’s ‘Stop the Steal’ allies are back on the ballot in Pa., and could win more power over the next election,” Philadelphia Inquirer, July 28, 2022, https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/pa-jan-6-2022-elections-mastriano-shapiro-20220728.html
  2. [2]Chris Brennan, “‘Mastriano is unacceptable’: A group of Pennsylvania Republicans is organizing to support Shapiro,” Philadelphia Inquirer, July 6, 2022, https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/josh-shapiro-doug-mastriano-governor-republicans-endorsements-20220706.html; Julian Routh, “Group of Pa. Republicans bucking party to endorse Democrat Josh Shapiro for governor,” Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, July 6, 2022, https://www.post-gazette.com/news/politics-state/2022/07/06/republican-endorsement-pennsylvania-governor-race-democrat-josh-shapiro-doug-mastriano-candidates/stories/202207050085
  3. [3]Rachel Bade, Eugene Daniels, and Ryan Lizza, “Takeaways from the biggest primary night of the year,” Politico, May 18, 2022, https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2022/05/18/takeaways-from-the-biggest-primary-night-of-the-year-00033345; Greg Sargent, “Say it clearly: Republicans just nominated a pro-Trump insurrectionist,” Washington Post, May 18, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/05/18/doug-mastriano-insurrectionist/; David Siders, “‘Beware what you wish for’: 5 takeaways from a key primary night,” Politico, May 18, 2022, https://www.politico.com/news/2022/05/18/pennsylvania-north-carolina-oregon-primary-election-takeaways-00033339
  4. [4]Jonathan Tamari, “Trump’s ‘Stop the Steal’ allies are back on the ballot in Pa., and could win more power over the next election,” Philadelphia Inquirer, July 28, 2022, https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/pa-jan-6-2022-elections-mastriano-shapiro-20220728.html?clickText=in-pennsylvanias-election-this-fall
  5. [5]Dan Balz, “2020 presidential polls suffered worst performance in decades, report says,” Washington Post, July 18, 2021, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020-poll-errors/2021/07/18/8d6a9838-e7df-11eb-ba5d-55d3b5ffcaf1_story.html; David Byler, “Polling is broken. No one knows how to fix it,” Washington Post, July 22, 2021, https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/07/22/polling-is-broken-no-one-knows-how-fix-it/; Mona Chalabi, “The pollsters were wrong – again. Here’s what we know so far,” Guardian, November 4, 2020, https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/commentisfree/2020/nov/04/the-pollsters-were-wrong-again-heres-what-we-know-so-far; David A. Graham, “The Polling Crisis Is a Catastrophe for American Democracy,” Atlantic, November 4, 2020, https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/11/polling-catastrophe/616986/; Courtney Kennedy and Hannah Hartig, “Response rates in telephone surveys have resumed their decline,” Pew Research Center, February 27, 2019, https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/02/27/response-rates-in-telephone-surveys-have-resumed-their-decline/; Steven Shepard, “Report: Phone polls aren’t dead yet,” Politico, May 15, 2017, https://www.politico.com/story/2017/05/15/pollsters-phone-polls-238409; Steven Shepard, “Dem pollsters acknowledge ‘major errors’ in 2020 polling,” Politico, April 13, 2021, https://www.politico.com/news/2021/04/13/dems-polling-failure-481044
  6. [6]Jonathan Tamari, “Trump’s ‘Stop the Steal’ allies are back on the ballot in Pa., and could win more power over the next election,” Philadelphia Inquirer, July 28, 2022, https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/pa-jan-6-2022-elections-mastriano-shapiro-20220728.html
  7. [7]David Benfell, “Start changing the border signs: ‘Welcome to Gilead,’” Not Housebroken, June 24, 2022, https://disunitedstates.org/2022/06/18/start-changing-the-border-signs-welcome-to-gilead/
  8. [8]Jon Moss, “Pittsburgh hit with surge in deadly shootings in 2022,” Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, July 18, 2022, https://www.post-gazette.com/news/crime-courts/2022/07/17/pittsburgh-gun-violence-police-trend-gunfire-homicide-airbnb-crime-statistics-pandemic-covid-19/stories/202207170044
  9. [9]Jon Moss, “Pittsburgh hit with surge in deadly shootings in 2022,” Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, July 18, 2022, https://www.post-gazette.com/news/crime-courts/2022/07/17/pittsburgh-gun-violence-police-trend-gunfire-homicide-airbnb-crime-statistics-pandemic-covid-19/stories/202207170044
  10. [10]Jon Moss, “Pittsburgh hit with surge in deadly shootings in 2022,” Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, July 18, 2022, https://www.post-gazette.com/news/crime-courts/2022/07/17/pittsburgh-gun-violence-police-trend-gunfire-homicide-airbnb-crime-statistics-pandemic-covid-19/stories/202207170044
  11. [11]Jon Moss, “Pittsburgh hit with surge in deadly shootings in 2022,” Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, July 18, 2022, https://www.post-gazette.com/news/crime-courts/2022/07/17/pittsburgh-gun-violence-police-trend-gunfire-homicide-airbnb-crime-statistics-pandemic-covid-19/stories/202207170044
  12. [12]David Dayen, “Joe Manchin and Chuck Schumer Have a Surprise for You,” American Prospect, July 28, 2022, https://prospect.org/politics/joe-manchin-and-chuck-schumer-have-a-surprise-for-you/
  13. [13]David Dayen, “Joe Manchin and Chuck Schumer Have a Surprise for You,” American Prospect, July 28, 2022, https://prospect.org/politics/joe-manchin-and-chuck-schumer-have-a-surprise-for-you/
  14. [14]Among other things, in the Atlantic daily newsletter, Elaine Godfrey notes that the deal has yet to pass muster with the Senate parliamentarian. Elaine Godfrey, “Democrats in … Array?” Atlantic, July 28, 2022, https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2022/07/democrats-in-array/670990/
  15. [15]David Dayen, “Joe Manchin and Chuck Schumer Have a Surprise for You,” American Prospect, July 28, 2022, https://prospect.org/politics/joe-manchin-and-chuck-schumer-have-a-surprise-for-you/

Thrice across the Rio Grande

First, apologies for the lack of updates here. I’ve been having an awful lot of trouble getting Internet to my notebook system. I understand that hotels want me to use their WiFi (this is why my cellular signal for mobile data is attenuated to an unusable level) so they can track me and sell my data but if that’s actually the case, they ought to at least ensure that I can get their WiFi in my room.

I might have taken a few wrong turns Monday. I crossed the Rio Grande three times.

No, not into and out of Mexico. This was in New Mexico, between Santa Fe and Los Alamos. I hadn’t realized the river’s origins lay so far from the Mexican border.

So prior to Monday, my travels on this trip had been exclusively on freeways, mostly with cruise control and my music blaring. Monday was mostly two-lane roads through some spectacular territory. I’ve started a photograph album here, because sometimes you just have to stop and take a picture. And sometimes this happens a few times.

The lighting quality on those shots is uneven. I was passing through and had to take what I could get. There are some shots I didn’t take just because the light wasn’t working at all, and for rocks, you need a particular kind of light.

Even as I traversed northern New Mexico, the terrain was looking familiar, reminding me of a summer camp I’d attended as a kid. Once I was in Colorado, place names seemed familiar.

But if I saw Pike’s Peak, I didn’t recognize it. And I didn’t see any signs for Pike’s Peak. The mountain could be seen from that summer camp.

I was remembering an overnight trip we’d taken to an old cabin. It still had tools, implements, and dishes from the 19th century. I remembered thinking a place like this would be a possibility for hiding out from my tormentors, then pretty much all other kids. It wasn’t practical, of course, but the memory reminds me that along with desperately needing acceptance, in the form of a real job, I am still desperate to escape those who continue to abuse me.[1] It makes for an odd psychological combination.

I wasn’t really expecting to, but as familiar place names faded, I traversed Lauren Boebert’s district. Like all members of the House of Representatives, she’s up for re-election, but I really didn’t see that many signs for her.


I often take yard signs as an indication of enthusiastic support, more or less assuming a rough bell curve of support in addition to what I see this way, just not so enthusiastic that they’re putting up yard signs. In some races, this can give me a clue as to who will win.

This is not one of those races. First, I haven’t looked into the race here; it could be Boebert is unopposed, I’m guessing without even a credible Democratic Party candidate to run against in the November election, in which case people might feel less of a need to campaign on her behalf. It could also be that even in her district, there is less enthusiasm for a politician who has built her career on stupidity. Neither of these possibilities precludes her re-election and I saw no opposing signs.

As I was coming down in through Utah, I was thinking I was likely traversing territory where breakaway Mormon sects, determined to preserve their polygamy custom, landed. I, of course, saw no sign of that. Instead, I saw microbreweries: Salt Lake City, too, is seeking to attract high technology.

I am not caught up. I am exhausted.


Gilead

Donald Trump

Coup attempt

Just sayin’, Marjorie Cohn is usually right. I’m not qualified to evaluate her legal argument in this case,[2] but continue to strongly suspect that the Department of Justice has not indicted Donald Trump because Merrick Garland really, really, really doesn’t want to.[3]

Marjorie Cohn, January 6 Committee Has Provided Sufficient Evidence for Garland to Indict Trump,” Truthout, July 25, 2022, https://truthout.org/articles/january-6-committee-has-provided-sufficient-evidence-for-garland-to-indict-trump/


John Fetterman

Marc Levy, “GOP warms to far-right gubernatorial nominee in Pennsylvania,” Associated Press, July 25, 2022, https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-abortion-campaigns-presidential-election-2020-b261a2e8a1689f13c3c4ab756423da95


Residential schools

Chris Harland-Dunaway, “Pope Francis apologizes to Canada’s Indigenous communities. But some say it doesn’t go far enough,” World, July 25, 2022, https://theworld.org/stories/2022-07-25/pope-francis-apologizes-canadas-indigenous-communities-some-say-it-doesnt-go-far


  1. [1]David Benfell, “To be a monster,&Rdquo; Not Housebroken, July 17, 2022, https://disunitedstates.org/2022/07/17/to-be-a-monster/
  2. [2]Marjorie Cohn, January 6 Committee Has Provided Sufficient Evidence for Garland to Indict Trump,” Truthout, July 25, 2022, https://truthout.org/articles/january-6-committee-has-provided-sufficient-evidence-for-garland-to-indict-trump/
  3. [3]Farnoush Amiri and Michael Balsamo, “Jan. 6 panel puts Garland in ‘precarious’ spot, ups pressure,” Associated Press, April 1, 2022, https://apnews.com/article/capitol-siege-merrick-garland-donald-trump-f70143880cb9be8a0610edcad1ed18e8

While Merrick Garland fiddles, the Atlanta district attorney is building a case


Fig. 1. The Gateway Arch, St. Louis. Photograph by author, July 23, 2022.

The photograph (figure 1) is the result of a wrong turn and a traffic jam. I got a lot closer to the Gateway Arch than I was supposed to, but not so close that this isn’t a rather tightly cropped shot. It really is huge.

Your clever Uranus jokes have nothing on those of the folks of Uranus, Missouri, yes, an actual town, where I saw a billboard for a fudge shop, yes, a billboard, declaring that “the world’s best fudge comes out of Uranus.” That wasn’t the only billboard, but it was probably the worst joke.

After a long drive through Missouri, I passed directly into the Indian nations of Oklahoma. Much to my surprise, I did not pass through Arkansas; Missouri, it turns out, has a short border iwth Oklahoma, and I crossed there. It was still a long drive to my hotel.

When I finally checked in in Irving, Texas, if I had any doubt I was in Texas, it was dispelled as I walked past the television in the hotel lobby on the way to my room. It was tuned to Fox News.

And it was playing an ad from Mike Huckabee touting a program to “teach” kids—yes, kids—about Donald Trump. Of course, the announcer referred to Trump not by his given name, but rather as “President Trump,” something only Trump’s admirers do, so it’s not like I had to chase down the website to see what this program would have to say.

Remember this when you hear conservatives complain about “liberals” indoctrinating kids.

The room was lovely, but the toilet lent support to Trump’s fury about toilets.[1] I can’t tell you if that was by design but the mini refrigerator’s freezer also failed to keep my frozen stuff frozen.

But at least I got a sound night’s sleep, in stark contrast to the Econo Lodge the night before, where I had not only the upstairs neighbor moving stuff around and walking heavily at three o’fucking clock in the fucking morning, but a fire alarm (false and brief) at around eight. I probably will not be booking EconoLodge in the future; the chain was okay in California, but I’ve had too much trouble with it elsewhere.

This room at the Cities of Gold Casino however, somewhere around Santa Fe, New Mexico, looks spectacular. But the walls are thin; I can hear my neighbors playing their television and sneezing. I may just be going too cheap with rooms.


Gilead

Donald Trump

Coup attempt

While Attorney General Merrick Garland fiddles,[2] it appears the Atlanta area district attorney, Fani T. Willis, is putting together an actual case over, among other things,[3] Donald Trump’s call to the Georgia secretary of state beseeching him to “find 11,780 votes.”[4]

Jon Allsop, “The January 6 committee revolutionizes democratic storytelling,” Columbia Journalism Review, July 22, 2022, https://www.cjr.org/the_media_today/january_6_committee_review.php

David Lauter, “Jan. 6 hearings have wounded Trump, and more decline may be ahead,” Los Angeles Times, July 22, 2022, https://www.latimes.com/politics/newsletter/2022-07-22/jan-6-hearings-have-wounded-trump-more-decline-may-be-ahead-essential-politics?sfmc_id=1348269

Lisa Mascaro, Farnoush Amiri, and Eric Tucker, “Jan. 6: Trump spurned aides’ pleas to call off Capitol mob,” Associated Press, January 22, 2022, https://apnews.com/article/capitol-siege-panel-hearing-3e3dc618ed8cee37147cf6a792c0c0fa

Spencer S. Hsu, Devlin Barrett, and Katie Mettler, “Steve Bannon found guilty in Jan. 6 contempt of Congress trial,” Washington Post, July 22, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/07/22/bannon-january-6-trial-friday/

Richard Fausset and Danny Hakim, “On the Docket: Atlanta v. Trumpworld,” New York Times, July 23, 2022, https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/23/us/politics/trump-georgia-election-interference.html

Amy Davidson Sorkin, “What Will Come of the January 6th Committee’s Case Against Trump?” New Yorker, July 24, 2022, https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2022/08/01/what-will-come-of-the-january-6th-committees-case-against-trump


  1. [1]Rob Picheta, Nikki Carvajal, and Greg Wallace, “Trump claims Americans have to flush the toilet ‘10 times, 15 times, as opposed to once,’” CNN, December 7, 2019, https://www.cnn.com/2019/12/07/politics/trump-americans-flushing-toilets-intl/index.html
  2. [2]Farnoush Amiri and Michael Balsamo, “Jan. 6 panel puts Garland in ‘precarious’ spot, ups pressure,” Associated Press, April 1, 2022, https://apnews.com/article/capitol-siege-merrick-garland-donald-trump-f70143880cb9be8a0610edcad1ed18e8
  3. [3]Richard Fausset and Danny Hakim, “On the Docket: Atlanta v. Trumpworld,” New York Times, July 23, 2022, https://www.nytimes.com/2022/07/23/us/politics/trump-georgia-election-interference.html
  4. [4]Amy Gardner, “‘I just want to find 11,780 votes’: In extraordinary hour-long call, Trump pressures Georgia secretary of state to recalculate the vote in his favor,” Washington Post, January 3, 2021, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/trump-raffensperger-call-georgia-vote/2021/01/03/d45acb92-4dc4-11eb-bda4-615aaefd0555_story.html

The perils of the asymptomatic

I’m getting a reminder of why I like my own four walls and a top floor apartment in this motel room. Somebody upstairs has been banging around since around 3 a.m., walking heavily on my ceiling.

I mean, really, at three o’fucking clock in the fucking morning? At least I’m caught up now.


COVID-19 Pandemic

To the best of my knowledge, I still haven’t gotten COVID-19 despite ongoing exposure to folks who fervently believe that vaccine and mask refusal demonstrate fealty to Donald Trump and a lot of others who just don’t give a damn anymore.

Although I’m fully vaccinated and double-boosted, the protection offered by vaccines against the latest variants is decreasing, and so I suppose it’s possible I’m ‘super-immune.’ My history is that I just don’t get sick—not common colds, not the flu, not any of this shit.

But I was only tested for the first time the other day, in preparation for the trip I’m now on, driving across country to visit my aging and presumably much more vulnerable mother (who thankfully also hasn’t caught COVID-19, to the best of our knowledge). And there is that nagging—‘haranguing’ might be a better word—possibility I’ve merely been asymptomatic. Of these possibilities, only ‘super-immunity’ is mentioned—dismissively—in this Washington Post article.[1] So what’s really going on here is we don’t know if I’ve been infected.

I’ll be tested again in Sacramento, just prior to arrival at my mother’s house.

Ellen McCarthy, “Meet the covid super-dodgers,” Washington Post, July 21, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/2022/07/21/no-covid-yet/


Gilead

Gun nuttery

Hannah Wiley, “Newsom signs gun law modeled after Texas abortion ban, setting up Supreme Court fight,” Los Angeles Times, July 22, 2022, https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2022-07-22/newsom-signs-gun-bill-modeled-after-texas-abortion-ban-setting-up

Donald Trump

Coup attempt

Jon Allsop, “The January 6 committee revolutionizes democratic storytelling,” Columbia Journalism Review, July 22, 2022, https://www.cjr.org/the_media_today/january_6_committee_review.php

David Lauter, “Jan. 6 hearings have wounded Trump, and more decline may be ahead,” Los Angeles Times, July 22, 2022, https://www.latimes.com/politics/newsletter/2022-07-22/jan-6-hearings-have-wounded-trump-more-decline-may-be-ahead-essential-politics?sfmc_id=1348269

Lisa Mascaro, Farnoush Amiri, and Eric Tucker, “Jan. 6: Trump spurned aides’ pleas to call off Capitol mob,” Associated Press, January 22, 2022, https://apnews.com/article/capitol-siege-panel-hearing-3e3dc618ed8cee37147cf6a792c0c0fa

Spencer S. Hsu, Devlin Barrett, and Katie Mettler, “Steve Bannon found guilty in Jan. 6 contempt of Congress trial,” Washington Post, July 22, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/07/22/bannon-january-6-trial-friday/


  1. [1]Ellen McCarthy, “Meet the covid super-dodgers,” Washington Post, July 21, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/2022/07/21/no-covid-yet/

Are the January 6 committee hearings ‘changing minds?’

So I made it to whatever town this is on the Illinois side of the border across from Saint Louis. Three years of Uber driving in Pittsburgh have made driving a lot less fun than it used to be, even when I’m away from Pittsburgh. And I’m exhausted.

And I’m not caught up.


Gilead

Donald Trump

Coup attempt

I was going to write that Jon Allsop’s optimism that the January 6 committee had changed minds seemed a bit much. If you read down in his column, what emerges is that Republican voters are more willing to consider alternatives to Donald Trump but their admiration for him remains largely undimmed. That’s a lot more nuanced than Allsop conveyed as he took note of pundits admitting they were wrong.[1]

But no, it appears that the hearings have hurt Trump with moderate Republicans and independents.[2]

That doesn’t necessarily translate to a defeat for white Christian nationalism. As David Lauter notes, “Moving on from Trump doesn’t necessarily mean repudiating Trumpism.”[3] This is a terribly crucial point: I’ve previously noted that Trump doesn’t control Trumpism,[4] which I now call white Christian nationalism, and which I continue, at least for now, to think will, as the culmination of a longstanding project, soon be in effectively permanent control of the country.[5] I’m really tired as I write this, but I’m thinking that conceivably, the movement, though certainly not the country, might be better off without Trump’s financial and coup-related legal sagas.

Jon Allsop, “The January 6 committee revolutionizes democratic storytelling,” Columbia Journalism Review, July 22, 2022, https://www.cjr.org/the_media_today/january_6_committee_review.php

David Lauter, “Jan. 6 hearings have wounded Trump, and more decline may be ahead,” Los Angeles Times, July 22, 2022, https://www.latimes.com/politics/newsletter/2022-07-22/jan-6-hearings-have-wounded-trump-more-decline-may-be-ahead-essential-politics?sfmc_id=1348269

Lisa Mascaro, Farnoush Amiri, and Eric Tucker, “Jan. 6: Trump spurned aides’ pleas to call off Capitol mob,” Associated Press, January 22, 2022, https://apnews.com/article/capitol-siege-panel-hearing-3e3dc618ed8cee37147cf6a792c0c0fa


  1. [1]Jon Allsop, “The January 6 committee revolutionizes democratic storytelling,” Columbia Journalism Review, July 22, 2022, https://www.cjr.org/the_media_today/january_6_committee_review.php
  2. [2]David Lauter, “Jan. 6 hearings have wounded Trump, and more decline may be ahead,” Los Angeles Times, July 22, 2022, https://www.latimes.com/politics/newsletter/2022-07-22/jan-6-hearings-have-wounded-trump-more-decline-may-be-ahead-essential-politics?sfmc_id=1348269
  3. [3]David Lauter, “Jan. 6 hearings have wounded Trump, and more decline may be ahead,” Los Angeles Times, July 22, 2022, https://www.latimes.com/politics/newsletter/2022-07-22/jan-6-hearings-have-wounded-trump-more-decline-may-be-ahead-essential-politics?sfmc_id=1348269
  4. [4]David Benfell, “Trumpism, Donald Trump, the January 6 coup attempt, and a smoking gun that may never be found,” Not Housebroken, January 28, 2022, https://disunitedstates.org/2021/12/14/trumpism-donald-trump-the-january-6-coup-attempt-and-a-smoking-gun-that-may-never-be-found/
  5. [5]David Benfell, “My 2024 forecast,” Not Housebroken, June 21, 2022, https://disunitedstates.org/2022/03/10/my-2024-forecast/; David Benfell, “Start changing the border signs: ‘Welcome to Gilead,’” Not Housebroken, June 24, 2022, https://disunitedstates.org/2022/06/18/start-changing-the-border-signs-welcome-to-gilead/

Is the Secret Service lawyering up?

I’m heading west starting tomorrow, visiting my mother and retrieving some stuff to get it out of her way.


Gilead

Donald Trump

Coup attempt

I haven’t decided that the latest committee hearing (the evening of July 21st) is particularly newsworthy so, for now, I’m not including anything about it. It’s entirely possible somebody will change my mind.

Of, I think, greater significance is the matter of the Secret Service deleting text messages.[1] It is highly plausible and probable that these cannot be recovered.[2] The obvious question will be if this was as innocent as the Secret Service claims.[3]


I saw a tweet referring to the report that Josh Marshall refers to and, yeah, I had the same question. If you follow the replies, Brian Beutler suggests:


I wouldn’t be terribly surprised if this is the case. But it does seem like somebody might be rattled.

Carol D. Leonnig and Maria Sacchetti, “Secret Service cannot recover texts; no new details for Jan. 6 committee,” Washington Post, July 19, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2022/07/19/secret-service-texts/

Kim Zetter, “Is the Secret Service’s Claim About Erased Text Messages Plausible?” Zero Day, July 20, 2022, https://zetter.substack.com/p/is-the-secret-services-claim-about


  1. [1]Carol D. Leonnig and Maria Sacchetti, “Secret Service cannot recover texts; no new details for Jan. 6 committee,” Washington Post, July 19, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2022/07/19/secret-service-texts/
  2. [2]Kim Zetter, “Is the Secret Service’s Claim About Erased Text Messages Plausible?” Zero Day, July 20, 2022, https://zetter.substack.com/p/is-the-secret-services-claim-about
  3. [3]Carol D. Leonnig and Maria Sacchetti, “Secret Service cannot recover texts; no new details for Jan. 6 committee,” Washington Post, July 19, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2022/07/19/secret-service-texts/; Kim Zetter, “Is the Secret Service’s Claim About Erased Text Messages Plausible?” Zero Day, July 20, 2022, https://zetter.substack.com/p/is-the-secret-services-claim-about

Elon Musk’s attempt at delay fails

So I had a job interview yesterday. It’s civil service, so I have absolutely no clue how well or how poorly I did. I think it wasn’t a complete disaster but there was, by obvious intent, no feedback whatsoever.

The position is ethically challenging, but I face impending calamity, Sword of Damocles style, with so-called rideshare driving, as 1) these companies are not financially viable[1] and I will be flat on my ass when they go belly up, 2) the business of picking up strangers and giving them rides is inherently hazardous,[2] 3) driving on Pittsburgh roads, where what’s routine here would be considered reckless where I come from, places both myself and my car at considerable risk,[3] 4) the condition of those roads places my car at additional risk, and 5) anybody who thinks they’re doing well driving for Uber or Lyft is not accounting for their costs properly, which is to say that when any of one through four occur, I will be ill-prepared for the financial consequences.

Driving for Uber or Lyft in Pittsburgh has to rank among the stupidest things one can do and I have only done it because I have had no choice.[4] So here, potentially, ethically challenging or not, there may be a choice. I have to take the job if it is offered. I would not be proud of doing so.


I have long wondered about overturns, accidents where vehicles are overturned. After my job interview, I returned to Uber driving and was transporting some passengers, thinking nothing in particular on a four-lane road (that’s two lanes in each direction), when a van (car #1) heading the opposite direction overturned rather spectacularly.

I was in the right lane; there were two cars stopped in the left lane and I saw that the front (car #2) of those cars had damage to its front left, presumably where it had impacted car #1. The car (car #3) in back of that one was pretty close in back.

The rest of this is conjecture. I think it is what happened, but I cannot be sure. I think car #2 was stopped to do a left turn and was rear-ended by car #3, pushing it (car #2) into the opposing lane of traffic, where it impacted car #1. I have no idea at what speed.

My impression now, however, is that it just really doesn’t take all that much to produce an overturn.

In the San Francisco Bay Area, I spoke of the risk of collisions, saying that a collision was inevitable: Even if you are perfect, you’re sharing the road with a lot of imperfect drivers. That’s certainly no less true here in Pittsburgh. This was the second collision I’d driven by that day. And it was still early.

As I said, driving for Uber or Lyft in Pittsburgh is just fucking stupid.


Twitter

Pardon my Schadenfreude. Confirming William Cohan’s expectation,[5] “the judge [Kathaleen McCormick] left the door open to compelling [Elon] Musk to complete his purchase, by hinting the case might require more than a $1 billion breakup fee to resolve. . . . Twitter’s lawyer argued that Musk had breached the deal, which, if the court agrees, allows the company to recoup more than the $1 billion breakup fee in damages, according to [Adam] Badawi.” The trial is set for October, not September as Twitter had requested, but a lot closer to that date than to February as Musk had requested.[6]

Elizabeth Dwoskin and Gerrit De Vynck, “Judge grants Elon Musk an October court date, in early win for Twitter,” Washington Post, July 19, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/07/19/twitter-elon-musk-trial/


Gilead

Donald Trump

Coup attempt

Secret Service agents, many of whom protect the president, vice president and other senior government leaders, were instructed to upload any old text messages involving government business to an internal agency drive before the reset, the senior official said, but many agents appear not to have done so.[7]

Carol D. Leonnig and Maria Sacchetti, “Secret Service cannot recover texts; no new details for Jan. 6 committee,” Washington Post, July 19, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2022/07/19/secret-service-texts/

Abortion

Laura Weiss, “After Roe’s Repeal, CVS Told Pharmacists to Withhold Certain Prescriptions,” New Republic, July 20, 2022, https://newrepublic.com/article/167087/roe-cvs-methotrexate-abortion-pills


Fossil fuels

Northeast (especially Pittsburgh)

Ryan Deto, “Allegheny County Council overrides Fitzgerald’s veto, bans new fracking in county parks,” Pittsburgh Tribune-Review, July 19, 2022, https://triblive.com/local/allegheny-county-council-overrides-fitzgeralds-veto-bans-new-fracking-in-county-parks/


  1. [1]David Benfell, “This is not a business plan,” Not Housebroken, May 29, 2022, https://disunitedstates.org/2021/06/20/this-is-not-a-business-plan/
  2. [2]David Benfell, “The vulnerability of Uber and Lyft driving,” Not Housebroken, February 18, 2022, https://disunitedstates.org/2022/02/18/the-vulnerability-of-uber-and-lyft-driving/; David Benfell, “Gaslighting Uber drivers on safety,” Not Housebroken, June 23, 2022, https://disunitedstates.org/2022/04/28/gaslighting-uber-drivers-on-safety/
  3. [3]David Benfell, “Pittsburgh driving culture,” Irregular Bullshit, n.d., https://disunitedstates.com/pittsburgh/pittsburgh-driving-for-the-uninitiated/pittsburgh-driving-culture/
  4. [4]David Benfell, “About my job hunt,” Not Housebroken, n.d., https://disunitedstates.org/about-my-job-hunt/
  5. [5]William D. Cohan, “The Case Against Elon,” Puck News, July 17, 2022, https://puck.news/the-case-against-elon/
  6. [6]Elizabeth Dwoskin and Gerrit De Vynck, “Judge grants Elon Musk an October court date, in early win for Twitter,” Washington Post, July 19, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/07/19/twitter-elon-musk-trial/
  7. [7]Carol D. Leonnig and Maria Sacchetti, “Secret Service cannot recover texts; no new details for Jan. 6 committee,” Washington Post, July 19, 2022, https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2022/07/19/secret-service-texts/